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  #1  
Old 11-26-2005, 11:23 PM
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Default advise on middle please

I did a 10pt tease and the the first 2 games won.
I'm left heavy on the Giants +14.5 tomorrow.
Should I sit on this or middle it? Thoughts anyone?
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  #2  
Old 11-27-2005, 01:19 AM
legend42 legend42 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 56
Default Re: advise on middle please

You're not even talking about an even money bet here, right? Why did you put NYG in the teaser if you don't like them at +14.5?

Pinny has SEA -10.5 at +228 now, so that might be an okay middle/hedge for you, but it's not +EV and anyway, you should decide what you're going to do in this situation BEFORE you make the bet.
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  #3  
Old 11-27-2005, 02:31 AM
ohnonotthat ohnonotthat is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: New Jersey - near A.C.
Posts: 511
Default Re: advise on middle please

This is not a middle; it's a hedge.

Middles are attempts to take advantage of a disparity in the line between two 'books; there is no such disparity here.

Any new bet you make is seperate and totally independent from the [open portion] of your teaser.

Do you think Seattle is a good value laying 4.5 ?

- If you do, lay it.

Ditto if you like them laying [approx.] 225 on the $ line.

- If you see value lay it.

*

Hey - maybe you think either (or both) NYG plus 4.5 or plus 200 on the $ line is/are a good play(s).

If you do - bet it.

*

Hedging is a personal decision that is typically done to lock in a [smaller] win when the amount of money at stake is outside your comfort level and when done for this reason does not need to be +EV.

- Life insurance - whole or term - is a horrendous bet but I take no quarrel with anyone who has some. (I do)

*

Does this make sense to you ?

*

P.M. me if it doesn't and I'll have another try.

Best wishes,

- Chris
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  #4  
Old 11-27-2005, 04:07 AM
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Default Re: advise on middle please

Got it thanks! I was confused on the terminology.
I liked the Giants +14.5. I also believe the chance of winning a seahawks -4.5 and a Giants +14.5 is highly probable too.
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