Bet this river?

SkittleBrau · #1 07-31-2005, 11:50 AM

Villain here is 50/10/1 over about 100 hands. Against most people he's just calling and cold-calling happily, but I think he's starting to hate me a bit, so maybe he could be getting out of line.

Ultimate Bet 5/10 Hold'em (6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero raises, 2 folds, Button 3-bets, 2 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (7.40 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero raises, Button 3-bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (6.70 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero calls.

River: (8.70 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)

Hero bets? or checks to induce a bluff from a busted draw?

TheMetetron · #2 07-31-2005, 11:54 AM

nevermind

StellarWind · #3 07-31-2005, 03:42 PM

I don't see how you can possibly fold to a raise when you suspect he's upset with you. I would check and hope that momentum or pique will cause him to bet.

I like the idea of just calling the first flop bet and then leading a non-diamond/non-ace turn. That makes it harder for a hand like 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] to escape and avoids being jerked around by a flush draw. Putting in 3 bets with A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] costs him little and if he then steals a free card when he misses you've really been had.

You really only have enough hand versus a sound ("10%") preflop 3-bet to make one aggressive move, so save it for the turn when your pot equity is much better.

cookie · #4 07-31-2005, 03:46 PM

I'll check/call here

Poldi · #5 07-31-2005, 04:07 PM

Check/Call, he probably will fire one last time.