Worth The Bluff

directscooter · #1 09-24-2005, 01:13 AM

I almost never bluff so please rip this apart if need be.
Villain (CO) is 15/4 after about 50 hands.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) converter

CO ($89.15)
Button ($76)
Hero ($98.65)
BB ($262.82)
UTG ($95.20)
UTG+1 ($107.30)
MP1 ($106.65)
MP2 ($40)
MP3 ($97)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $0.50.
3 folds, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, CO raises to $4, 1 fold, Hero (poster) calls $3.50, 1 fold, MP2 folds.

Flop: ($10) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $7, Hero raises to $20, CO calls $13.

Turn: ($50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks.

River: ($50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $30

Isura · #2 09-24-2005, 01:16 AM

Why didn't you bet the turn? And I would probably lead the flop. I don't see why you want to bluff this river with the probable best hand.

directscooter · #3 09-24-2005, 01:26 AM

Best hand? Guy was pretty much a rock, I check raised to rep a strong hand, figuring I could knock him off AK. Once he called, I figured I was behind and was ready to drop the hand. He checked behind so I was pretty sure it was AA, KK, QQ and looking for a cheap showdown. Then when the 9 falls I figured it was a very good bluff card.

Isura · #4 09-24-2005, 02:20 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Best hand? Guy was pretty much a rock

[/ QUOTE ]

I can't come to that conclusion after looking at 15/4 stats in just 50 hands. Did you have any more specific reads? If he's really a rock, doesn't leading the flop gain the same information for a cheaper price, and keeps the pot smaller? I'm more questioning the flop action. If you really can only put him on QQ-AA, then I don't mind the river bluff.

directscooter · #5 09-24-2005, 03:05 AM

Definitely a valid point that it was only 50 hands. Also probably could have led out although I just felt c/r would scream a better hand. There was also the small possibility we could check it through and I could take it on the turn.

I was more concerned with the river... the guy called, either I gave him too much credit to be able to make the fold, or I didn't scare him enough. He showed AA and MHING.

yvesaint · #6 09-24-2005, 03:29 AM

rockish or not hes not going to fold any river bet equal to or lower than pot since you checked the turn

Spladle Master · #7 09-24-2005, 04:29 AM

I give this a 1 out of 10.