A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)

[jaxUp]

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unlikely to donk on a coordinated board without something good

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This is the crux of the matter IMO. What worse hand can you expect him to have here? He's got to be pretty dumb to donk anything less than a straight. I call/call.

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sorry, I should have been more specific...I meant something good as in TP+. He would donk a 9 or 2 pair here every time.

[jaxUp]

Anyways, Here's the results.

5/10 6-max (6-handed)on Party.

folded to SB who completes and I raise A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] in BB.

Flop: K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
SB bets, I raise, SB calls.

Turn: T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
SB bets, I call.

River: T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
SB bets, I call

Villain turns Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and MHING

[Pedigree]

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MHING

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What does this stand for?

[jaxUp]

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MHING

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What does this stand for?

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My hand is no good

[bozlax]

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Yeah, good analysis boz. I thought the same thing. The only thing I don't agree with is:

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If it pairs the board, check behind.


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This guy is too dumb to c/r. I have never seen him c/r and he has had some good hands. he always leads with them. If he checks to me I am betting for value.

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Makes sense.

[Pedigree]

Cool, thanks.

[Shillx]

Ok I set up a reasonable range, TT-99, A2s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 92s+, A2o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 92o+, that you have 68.7% equity against. This is 339 combos.

There are also 28 more possible flush combos that we have to include. So your total equity figures to be about 63-64% in this spot.

With this it looks to be close between just calling and raising the river or raising now. I dunno but this hand is tough dude. I don't know what I'd do at the table, but I would try to find a raise somewhere in here. Good post.