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Old 08-23-2005, 12:50 PM
NYCNative NYCNative is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Columbus, OH
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Default Big overbets on flops to dissuade the fish

We all see villains at lower levels make really bad calls - like with gutshots or middle pair or just overcards, crap like that - and then draw out winning a hand they should have folded if they weren't the Gordon's Fisherman.

Sure, you kinda WANT them to make -EV calls but it sure sucks when they get there in spite of your best efforts.

It makes sense to pot a flop you hit, especially on a scary board, but in cases where you know villain is an Uber Fish, is it a good idea to, say, double the pot to protect your holdings (or even more), especially when you have an inking that villain might have a good draw (say, flush and open-ender) or does that just ensure losing more when the scare card hits on the turn or river?

Or worse, does the attempt to price him out of the draw actually price him in, if that makes any sense...
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Old 08-23-2005, 12:59 PM
BigF BigF is offline
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Default Re: Big overbets on flops to dissuade the fish

It doesn't suck when they hit. -EV is -EV is -EV whether they hit or not.

If your overbet has the same chance of getting called as a pot sized bet, go for it. But I doubt it.
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