Two Plus Two Older Archives Chances of flopping a boat
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#1
09-02-2005, 10:32 PM
 canis582 Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: I, state your name... Posts: 178
Chances of flopping a boat

I was taking a shot at 100nl tonight (Im a 50 player) and I flopped a boat and doubled through. I know I was lucky. How lucky was I? I dont think I've flopped one for quite some time...I was on the button too.
#2
09-02-2005, 11:14 PM
 KJL Senior Member Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 135
Re: Chances of flopping a boat

Did you have a pocket pair?
#3
09-03-2005, 09:13 AM
 canis582 Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: I, state your name... Posts: 178
Re: Chances of flopping a boat

Good question, I was playing sooted connectors.
#4
09-03-2005, 11:44 AM
 timex Junior Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 4
Re: Chances of flopping a boat

There are 3 of card x and 3 of card y remaining in the deck of 50, the first card has a 6/50 chance of being an x or y, the second card has a 5/49 and the third card has a 4/48 less the 3! *2 time when hit quads = 108/117600 or right around 1/1089 times.
#5
09-03-2005, 11:39 PM
 KJL Senior Member Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 135
Re: Chances of flopping a boat

The chances to flop a boat and only a boat, when holding suited connectors, or any unpaired hand, are:
2*C(3,2)*3/C(50,3)=~.09%
#6
09-04-2005, 08:45 PM
 kamk2k8 Junior Member Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 9
Re: Chances of flopping a boat

i would say about a .1% chance, you lucky dog [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

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