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  #1  
Old 12-30-2005, 06:52 PM
TomBrooks TomBrooks is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

RIVER: I would fold.

PS: PREFLOP: I also fold A9o unless I'm first in from MP on which I raise.
  #2  
Old 12-30-2005, 07:19 PM
Monty Cantsin Monty Cantsin is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

I frequently raise A9 after one limper. I would say more often than not.

/mc
  #3  
Old 12-30-2005, 08:10 PM
Entity Entity is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

[ QUOTE ]
I frequently raise A9 after one limper. I would say more often than not.

/mc

[/ QUOTE ]

If by frequently you mean almost always, I would agree.

I like the river fold.

Rob
  #4  
Old 12-30-2005, 08:22 PM
Womble Womble is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

Why are we folding this river? I am confused here? His agression isnt abnormally low so he could have an ace. Is the 9 kicker the problem here? I need same reasoning since this may be a leak of mine.
  #5  
Old 12-30-2005, 10:09 PM
Monty Cantsin Monty Cantsin is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

[ QUOTE ]
Why are we folding this river?

[/ QUOTE ]

First of all, we aren't necessarily folding here. jba wanted to know if he could fold, which means "given what we know is a call required here?"

What would make this call obligatory is if we expect to be winning here substantially more than 1 times out of 10.

I happen to think we are winning here a bit less than 1 times out of 10. But somewhere around 1 in 10 seems reasonable. So it doesn't really matter if we call or fold, and we're free to do either one based on meta-stuff or whatever sick whim our brain cooks up for us (btw whims can be excellent pattern mappers so it could be jba's desire to fold is indicative of a deeper read on this player that his conscious mind was not aware of).

The thing that makes his raise a little more believable to me here is the pre-flop raise, flop check, turn bet, which diagrams A-big very strongly. I don't expect unknowns to expect unknowns to fold an Ace.

Btw, I would be much more likely to call here with AQ or AK.

/mc
  #6  
Old 12-31-2005, 12:02 AM
jba jba is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

"(btw whims can be excellent pattern mappers so it could be jba's desire to fold is indicative of a deeper read on this player that his conscious mind was not aware of). "

in my semidrunken state i'm taking that as a compliemant
  #7  
Old 12-31-2005, 02:24 AM
Monty Cantsin Monty Cantsin is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

Intended.

/mc
  #8  
Old 12-30-2005, 09:08 PM
Monty Cantsin Monty Cantsin is offline
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Default Re: Do I need to pay this off??

[ QUOTE ]

If by frequently you mean almost always, I would agree.


[/ QUOTE ]

In that case, that's exactly what I meant.

/mc
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