Card Player Article: The End Is Coming

Degen · #1 09-01-2005, 02:09 AM

#2 09-01-2005, 02:50 AM

I think he's very wrong on this. He makes the assumption that people are trying to improve. Many really aren't.

Degen · #3 09-01-2005, 02:55 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I think he's very wrong on this. He makes the assumption that people are trying to improve. Many really aren't.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes, those are the ones he says will just die off, and not play...the ones who try and improve will be feasting on each other, and the weak among them will not be able to mate etc.

i have been fretting over this myself, when will this end? is it here to stay, forever? when will all the new money stop coming in?

i for one am hoping that poker is a big hit in China [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

MegaBet · #4 09-01-2005, 03:04 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i for one am hoping that poker is a big hit in China [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Haha, yeah that was from my post yesterday.

This is a big worry to me as well. Just how good are we? I can certainly see the interest dying down in a few years, but who knows? Poker will always be around, but we may just end up with a lot of "good" players and a lot less fish - which is the opposite of today. Keeps me awake at night.

Newt_Buggs · #5 09-01-2005, 03:09 AM

Yeah, it really would be a crime if we were all forced to become productive parts of society that contribute something with real jobs.

Degen · #6 09-01-2005, 03:28 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, it really would be a crime if we were all forced to become productive parts of society that contribute something with real jobs.

[/ QUOTE ]

hehe indeed

i think i probably fall somewhat into the complacency category, so i'm trying to counteract that by saving mad amounts of money that i'll use to take over the world when poker dies off

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

HesseJam · #7 09-01-2005, 04:27 AM

I think overall he is right but his outlook is a bit too gloomy.

It will take some time before the games toughen up but they surely will but not as tough as he might think. If they toughen up there is a chance that rake will go down if the current high rake/ high bonus frequency scheme is ineffective to attract enough fish for mediocre/good players.

I also think that a lot of the better college poker players will drop out or at least noticably decrease playing time when they take up a job.

I do not think that China will be the answer unless you are comfortable to play at a site with Chinese chat and Chinese charcters.

OTH, Poker has yet to hit continental Europe sans Scandinavia. I see much more medium term growth there than in Asia. I am a bit puzzled that it has not happened yet. Maybe English is an entry barrier?

Scuba Chuck · #8 09-01-2005, 04:36 AM

Have not read the article. But my opinion is one based purely on gambling in general. Poker to most, is just another form of gambling. Some like blackjack, some like roulette, some like craps, whatever. Casinos have been around a long time. In fact, I'm sure many of us have local Indian casinos now. The act or desire to gamble will never go away. In the end, it just comes down to game of choice.

curtains · #9 09-01-2005, 04:43 AM

The trick is to just become good enough at poker so that even when the competition gets much tougher you will still have a huge edge. I mean if you are making $300 per hour now, do you really think that in 5 years you cant even make close to $100?

caretaker1 · #10 09-01-2005, 04:44 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Have not read the article. But my opinion is one based purely on gambling in general. Poker to most, is just another form of gambling. Some like blackjack, some like roulette, some like craps, whatever. Casinos have been around a long time. In fact, I'm sure many of us have local Indian casinos now. The act or desire to gamble will never go away. In the end, it just comes down to game of choice.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep. A portion of the bad players will not leave the game, just as people continually come back to slot machines, even when they know they can't win long term. For some players the action is what makes it fun and that is enough.