Swing State prediction contest

[lorinda]

It's gutsy to give MN to me at the same time giving WI to Kerry.

Swap them over... same result [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Lori

[GWB]

[ QUOTE ]
It's gutsy to give MN to me at the same time giving WI to Kerry.

Swap them over... same result [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Lori

[/ QUOTE ]

I like the way you had it. Some earlier predictors had Kerry picking up AR, which would be a bit of a surprise.

My surprise pick is that I will blind-side Kerry by picking up MI.

[LinusKS]

lorinda -

Another possibility (for a tie) - Bush carries OH and WI, but loses FL.

A tie is not out of the question.

[Peca277]

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Bush
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Kerry
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Kerry
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Kerry

Kerry + 1.1%
Kerry 284- Bush 254

[El Barto]

My Prediction:
Kerry picks up NH
Bush picks up WI,IA,NM
Bush 296 Kerry 242
Senate GOP 52 seats

[El Barto]

from the Washington Post, predictions from pundits and politicos:

[ctv1116]

AR (6)--Bush
CO (9)--Bush
IA (7)--Bush
FL (27)--Bush
HI (4) --Kerry
ME (4)--Kerry
MN (10)--Kerry
MI (17)--Kerry
MO (11)--Bush
NH (4)--Kerry
NJ (15)--Kerry
NM (5)--Bush
NV (5)--Bush
OH (20)--Bush
OR (7)--Kerry
PA (21)--Kerry
WV (5)--Bush
WA (11)--Kerry
WI (10)--Bush
Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Bush by 2.5%
Electoral Result: Bush wins 296-242

[LinusKS]

AR (6) Bush
CO (9) Bush
IA (7) Bush
FL (27) Bush
HI (4) Kerry
ME (4) Kerry
MN (10) Kerry
MI (17) Kerry
MO (11) Bush
NH (4) Kerry
NJ (15) Kerry
NM (5) Bush
NV (5) Bush
OH (20) Kerry
OR (7) Kerry
PA (21) Kerry
WV (5) Bush
WA (11) Kerry
WI (10) Kerry

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry by 1.5%

Electoral Result: (Kerry) 272 v. 266 (Conservative guesstimate - FL could go either way, IA a Kerry possibility as well.)

[Matty]

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Kerry
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Bush
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Kerry
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Bush

Kerry 296
Bush 242

Popular Vote: Kerry +1.8

[LaggyLou]

Bush
AR (6)
CO (9)
IA (7)
FL (27)
MO (11)
NM (5)
NV (5)
WV (5)



Kerry
HI (4)
ME (4)
MN (10)
MI (17)
NH (4)
NJ (15)
OH (20)
OR (7)
PA (21)
WA (11)
WI (10)

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +1.0

Electoral Result: Kerry 272 Bush 266