Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Limit Texas Hold'em > Small Stakes Shorthanded
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old 09-12-2005, 05:13 PM
krishanleong krishanleong is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 45
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

[ QUOTE ]

Will it average these two guys out for a table VP of 50??
Or will it be 2100 hands between the two for VP27 or so??

[/ QUOTE ]

Simple averages. It will show 50.

Krishan
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 09-12-2005, 05:15 PM
irishpint irishpint is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: what you want, G?
Posts: 1,249
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

get dealt good hands that hit flops...ie not what i'm doing.
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 09-12-2005, 05:33 PM
sam h sam h is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 742
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

[ QUOTE ]
But you never know the exact odds on a play since your opponents card are not face up. The idea is to give yourself a bit more of a buffer in case you are misjudging things a bit.

[/ QUOTE ]

I understand what you are saying in theory. But in practice I can't think of too many situations where I would start folding more post-flop. If anything, I would think downswings would tend to make people begin to fold too often.
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 09-12-2005, 05:36 PM
sam h sam h is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 742
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

[ QUOTE ]
But so is tilt and donking off half of my bankroll. Since I'm not an automaton, I'll accept a hit to my WR if its accompanied by a clearing of the mind and settling of the nerves.

[/ QUOTE ]

Knowing yourself is important, so if that is what you have to do then go ahead. But I would also try to get past this if I were you. Better to see it as a good temporary solution.
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 09-12-2005, 05:37 PM
rory rory is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 29
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

The poker apps should have some sort of quality metric for table worth like: TW = x*a(VPIP) + y*b(PFR) + z*c(AF) where a and b and c are some functions dependent on VPIP and PFR and AF respectively and x, y and z are constants which weight the importance of VPIP, PFR and AF. VPIP would be some sort of function that looked a little bit like a lopsided U, where very low VPIPs and high VPIPs were worth more than VPIPs in the 15-25 range. PFR would have a similar shape, as would AF. I guess doing it on the whole table is sort of lame because those table numbers are an average-- maybe do it for specific players, and then averaging all of those numbers together to get a number that is the table value or something.

Nate Tha' Great did something like this before, trying to predict win rate from analyzing various PT stats, but I think he did it with simple weighting like (a * VPIP) + (b * PFR) etc etc where the coefficients did not change with the variable they were referring to, I forget though maybe I am wrong. Anyway, it would be sort of cool to go through a bunch of DBs and try to analyze players in this way to see if there were some functions for a, b and c and some weights we could come up with for them that were vaguely predictive of win rates. Or even just winning. Does anyone have a huge DB of hands I can download?
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 09-12-2005, 05:51 PM
Surfbullet Surfbullet is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 7
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

...

And i thought I was a nerd 'cause I'm hand-coding my own datamining app instead of finding/buying one. You sir, take the cake. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Surf
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 09-12-2005, 06:06 PM
Justin A Justin A is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: I travel the world and the seven seas
Posts: 494
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone have a huge DB of hands I can download?

[/ QUOTE ]

Make a post asking for some. I'm sure more than a few people would donate their datamining databases if you agreed to share the results with the forum.
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 09-12-2005, 07:12 PM
sxb sxb is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 7
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

Hock, your WRs are pretty good in game 15/30, 30/60. Why are you moving down to 10/20 6max now? Just love the action in 6max games? [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 09-13-2005, 12:03 AM
helpmeout helpmeout is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 991
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

A formula based on table profitability needs to consider mainly VPIP and WTSD.

Other stats like AF and PFR profitability is like an add on to those 2 main stats.

Someone with 80/30/2 and WTSD 50 is gonna be spewing chips like mad but on their own the stats dont mean as much.

I dont think its real important though most people already know what a good table is and if they think that the 70/10/1 wtsd 30 guy is more profitable than the 50/30/3 WTSD45 guy then thats their problem.
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 09-13-2005, 12:38 AM
Victor Victor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: cleveland
Posts: 68
Default Re: 11 things to help pull out of a downswing...

why do you need to be on a downswing to employ these tactics?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:20 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.