I get owned and a half.

goofball · #1 12-14-2005, 07:41 AM

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
6 folds, CO raises, 1 fold, SB 3-bets, Hero caps, CO calls, SB calls.

Flop: (12 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, CO raises, SB folds, Hero 3-bets, CO calls.

Turn: (9 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, CO calls.

River: (11 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, CO raises, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 14 BB

Carmine · #2 12-14-2005, 07:56 AM

You don't give any player descriptions but against a straightforward player you know you're toast on the flop raise. Okay so let's say you're 3-betting the flop so you can get capped and fold (are there any other reasons to 3-bet?). Okay that doesn't happen. Now once you bet the turn and he calls you have to be getting that sick feeling in your gut...correct? Now what's he calling the river with that you beat? Unless, of course, this guy is a calling station. Which again you give no description. You play better than this I'm pretty sure.

#3 12-14-2005, 08:22 AM

I don't think you fold the flop but I think 3 betting is a mistake as you are OOP and now are forced to lead the turn. If you just call the flop raise, you can check/fold the turn on a blank.

UCLAseetoK · #4 12-14-2005, 08:28 AM

What are you betting this river with that you expect him to call with that you can beat?

#5 12-14-2005, 09:52 AM

[ QUOTE ]
SB folds

[/ QUOTE ]

From this point on is spew.

SnglMaltScotch · #6 12-14-2005, 10:32 AM

I agree that there is a fold in there but exactly where. Do we give up easily enough to simply fold to the raise on the flop. We basically have 2 outs and no where near the odds to peel for set value. We know that a bet is coming if we check the turn.

I have a lot of trouble with these hands so I am looking for advise.

jskills · #7 12-14-2005, 10:53 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think you fold the flop but I think 3 betting is a mistake as you are OOP and now are forced to lead the turn. If you just call the flop raise, you can check/fold the turn on a blank.

[/ QUOTE ]

While I agree with not 3-betting the flop and then having to lead the turn, I don't understand your rationale for calling the flop raise and check / folding the turn on a "blank". Everything is a "blank" aside from one of the two Queens in the deck left right? Why not just fold to the flop raise if you're looking to hit two outs?

#8 12-14-2005, 02:47 PM

in general I agree with you, that calling and hoping to hit one of two outs is not great strategy. but it is conceivable depending on your read, that CO could have pkt pair lower than QQ rather than AK or AJ type of hand. Also, I it may be a leak in my game, but I tend to subscribe to the SSHE loose call on flop raises so people don't play back at me all the time

goofball · #9 12-14-2005, 05:22 PM

All- Folding the flop is bad. Are we just going to automatically give him credit for the ace here? Given that, my options are checkcall down or 3betlead. I chose the latter, here's why. If I checkcall down I'm allowing him to play the river almost perfectly, checking behind hands I beat and betting hands I don't. If I'm going to just call the flop and the turn I think I should fold the river. If I get to the river with him he'll check behind TT or 76s or something else I beat, he'll bet A4 or something. I don't think he has pure air enoguh to justify a call on the river.

However, yes he may have the A but he'll also have second pair or a lower pocket pair sometimes. Remember it's a blind steal situation, he didn't raise UTG or anything. He might have me beat but he might not. Since I'm likely going ot go to showdown I should take the lead and force him to put in the same amount with his whole range.

I was frustrated with it last night, but looking at this now I don't even think the river bet is a mistake. The board is so dry he'll call me with every hand he's here with and that includes hands worse than mine. Even though I'm a dog when I'm called betting is still better. Think about it this way. If I bet he'll call with his worse hands and most of his better ones as well. If I check he'll bet his better hands and check his worse ones. Betfolding wins a big bet when I'm ahead and loses a big bet when I'm behind. Checkcalling wins a small fraction of a big bet when I'm ahead and loses a full big bet when behinid.

Come to think of it, I think IO remember reading about this kind of spot in HEPFAP or maybe one of mason's poker essays.

#10 12-14-2005, 08:13 AM

Played it a little fast for my taste. For the rare time that he's raising this drawless flop sans ace or king, just go calldown and let him hang himself. River bet/fold isn't bad.

P.S.
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