Two Plus Two Older Archives Quick math question
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#1
12-29-2005, 10:23 PM
 ryanghall Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 121
Quick math question

2/4 blinds.

BB has \$27. He's average. I have a very tight image.

Is it +EV to push? If not, is it so close that it's worth it for image?

Ryan
#2
12-29-2005, 10:25 PM
 Guest Posts: n/a
Re: Quick math question

wellhow often do u think he'll fold? and how often do u think hell call w./ a worse hand?
#3
12-29-2005, 10:27 PM
 ryanghall Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 121
Re: Quick math question

That's what I'm asking the mathies to figure out.
#4
12-30-2005, 12:38 AM
 ryanghall Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 121
Re: Quick math question

OK not getting any help here.

Let's say, just for fun, that he calls with any Ace, any 2 face, any pair.

Is the push right or neutral then?

Ryan
#5
12-30-2005, 12:45 AM
 DJ Sensei Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Durham, NC Posts: 148
Re: Quick math question

Well, i threw it in SNG powertools with that calling range... Not sure if its accurate for ring game situations, but it gave your push as +.5% EV against that calling range. Pretty close to neutral.
#6
12-30-2005, 01:53 AM
 Guest Posts: n/a
Re: Quick math question

Ask this same question in probabilities?
#7
12-30-2005, 01:55 AM
 Isura Member Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 69
Re: Quick math question

Easy push.
#8
12-30-2005, 02:10 AM
 Isura Member Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 69
Re: Quick math question

[ QUOTE ]
OK not getting any help here.

Let's say, just for fun, that he calls with any Ace, any 2 face, any pair.

Is the push right or neutral then?

Ryan

[/ QUOTE ]

Any ace, any paint (I included tens), any pair is about 28% of hands.

100-28 = 72% of time he folds.

fold EV = \$6 * .72

K3s is about %38 against that range.
call and we lose \$29 * .62
calll and we win \$33 * .38

EV = (\$6 * .72) + (\$33 * .28 * .38) - (\$29 * .28 * .62) = 4.32 + 3.51 - 5.03 = +\$2.80.

The play has an EV of + \$2.80.

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