#1
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$55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise
Villain had been relatively aggressive when it was folded to him, but he had never raised this much before. Is it worth taking a possible coin flip here?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (7 handed) converter BB (t1710) UTG (t1430) MP1 (t1535) MP2 (t970) CO (t1480) Button (t1240) Hero (t805) Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t900</font>, HERO??? Final Pot: t975 |
#2
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Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise
I'd Call.
You see a lot of mid/small pp that people don't enjoy playing postflop. Plus people often try to get cute with AA/KK. |
#3
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Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise
Villain's betting $900 into a $75 pot. Who knows what he's doing? Maybe he always does this with QQ+, or maybe he's on a bluff.
If you are better than average skill at this table (and who isn't) give up your $25 and fold. Otherwise, call. |
#4
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Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise
I would insta-call here. He's going to have an underpair or one overcard much too often for you to fold this hand. I've only played a couple hundred 55's but I haven't seen QQ-AA played this way very often.
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#5
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Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise
I just crunched some numbers...
Based on the pot odds you need to be winning 48% of the time to make this a +EV call. Making the assumptions that your up against: -Over pair 40% -Two overs 30% -Under pair 20% -Two unders 10% Based on these assumptions you're winning ~48%. Like others have said, this just hasn't been played much like a big pair, so I think the above assumptions are a worst case. Therefore, on a purely EV basis, I'd call. |
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