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  #1  
Old 09-23-2005, 09:02 PM
Taraz Taraz is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: CA
Posts: 86
Default $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise

Villain had been relatively aggressive when it was folded to him, but he had never raised this much before. Is it worth taking a possible coin flip here?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (7 handed) converter

BB (t1710)
UTG (t1430)
MP1 (t1535)
MP2 (t970)
CO (t1480)
Button (t1240)
Hero (t805)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t900</font>, HERO???
Final Pot: t975
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  #2  
Old 09-23-2005, 09:04 PM
KingDan KingDan is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 139
Default Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise

I'd Call.

You see a lot of mid/small pp that people don't enjoy playing postflop.

Plus people often try to get cute with AA/KK.
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  #3  
Old 09-23-2005, 09:33 PM
pineapple888 pineapple888 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 65
Default Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise

Villain's betting $900 into a $75 pot. Who knows what he's doing? Maybe he always does this with QQ+, or maybe he's on a bluff.

If you are better than average skill at this table (and who isn't) give up your $25 and fold. Otherwise, call.
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  #4  
Old 09-23-2005, 09:40 PM
michw michw is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 7
Default Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise

I would insta-call here. He's going to have an underpair or one overcard much too often for you to fold this hand. I've only played a couple hundred 55's but I haven't seen QQ-AA played this way very often.
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  #5  
Old 09-24-2005, 12:06 AM
xJMPx xJMPx is offline
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Default Re: $55: JJ in level 3 facing a big raise

I just crunched some numbers...

Based on the pot odds you need to be winning 48% of the time to make this a +EV call.

Making the assumptions that your up against:
-Over pair 40%
-Two overs 30%
-Under pair 20%
-Two unders 10%

Based on these assumptions you're winning ~48%. Like others have said, this just hasn't been played much like a big pair, so I think the above assumptions are a worst case. Therefore, on a purely EV basis, I'd call.
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