Terrible $150+15 mini-step

slavic · #1 07-21-2005, 10:49 PM

7 handed and the play is tight. It's been tight since the beginning and the 4 players to my left got themselves short stacked and really made it hard for me to keep stealing. If I raised at all they were right to call with anything, It's funny you can only milk them so far. Through the miracle of some nice all in suck outs they are back to moderatly healthy, though even the chip leader isn't "healthy" here. As you can see we are at crapshoot time, the button is the only other player willing to commit his stack on the rounds, most of the other players are fairly timid and I count him as the best of the remaining competition, though that still wouldn't change his cards.

All the other players look like they are trying to make the top 5, and we are down to a crap shoot. Should I take the slightly negative pot equity hand with the overlay from the pot, or fold and steal some more?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t300 (7 handed) converter

CO (t1561)
Button (t1310)
SB (t345)
Hero (t2702)
UTG (t1455)
MP1 (t1017)
MP2 (t1610)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Button calls [t1310] , <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero?

Pot is 1760 and 1010 to call. 1.7:1

bluefeet · #2 07-21-2005, 11:35 PM

IMO this 'crapshoot' scenario makes it an ideal time for you specifically to get back to blind stealing in EP when the blinds clear. in short order, you'll soon forget you probaby folded the better hand -- and be richer for it.

nWirb · #3 07-22-2005, 12:28 AM

I certainly don't hate a call here.
You are probably on the good end of a coinflip and you have decent pot odds.
If you lose you still have one of the biggest stacks on the table and your pushes will get respected.
If you win you will have a monster lead and the second best player is out of the tournament.

curtains · #4 07-22-2005, 12:29 AM

If the top 5 qualify for the next level, I think calling is dreadful. Sorry though I dont know exaclty how the prize structure works.

schwza · #5 07-22-2005, 01:48 AM

the structure is 6-7 get reentry to step 3 (50+5), 3-5 get step 4 (150+15) and 1-2 get step 5 (400+30).

i think this is a very clear fold. even if you think you don't have FE, you do. they all want to move up just as much as you do. well, just as much as you should.