Session III Review: Hand 14 Nobody got nuttin

[grjr]

This is the kind of hand where I like to throw a bet out on the turn when it looks like everyone missed the flop. There's a pretty decent chance that everyone will fold and I probably have the best hand even if they don't. Why give the field a free card to pair up on the river?

[DrunkHamster]

Post the hand?

[grjr]

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...14&fpart=1

Hand 14

[moose47]

If the pot was a little bigger or you had one fewer opponent than I agree but I don't think a 2 BB pot is worth going after in this particular situation. I guess it is possible that all three opponents will fold to a bet but will it happen often enough to make it profitable?

[Somekid]

Meh. I don't think everyone would fold here to a flop bet. In my experience I get one or two callers and then have no idea what to do on the turn. Then I end up leading the turn (getting called), and check/folding the river. Then again I make horrible postflop plays.

If I was feeling frisky though maybe I would c/r the flop only if MP bet (since he might bet for the same reason you wanted to). Then I'd lead the turn. Although I think I'd really just play it the way the hero did.

edit: My apologies. I thought the OP said flop. But I still don't think I'd bet the turn. I could see people calling who were scared with bottom pair. Maybe I'm too passive but I'd just check/fold it down.

[deception5]

Here's the hand.

- - - HAND 14 - - -
PreFlop: MICROPOSTER is SB with A T (9 Players)
UTG+1 calls, MP calls, 3 folds, MICROPOSTER calls, BB checks,

Flop: (4.00 SB) 9 J 5 (4 Players)
MICROPOSTER checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP checks,

Turn: (2.00 BB) 3 (4 Players)
MICROPOSTER checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP checks,

River: (2.00 BB) J (4 Players)
MICROPOSTER checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP checks,

Final Pot: 2.00 BB

[grjr]

[ QUOTE ]
If the pot was a little bigger or you had one fewer opponent than I agree but I don't think a 2 BB pot is worth going after in this particular situation. I guess it is possible that all three opponents will fold to a bet but will it happen often enough to make it profitable?

[/ QUOTE ]

With that rainbow 3 hitting the turn I would expect to take it down there at least 2 out of 3 times. There are a lot of pots out there like this where the first bet takes it down. It might as well be us taking the money.

This is an advantage that the blinds have that isn't exploited enough. We get first shot at an unwanted pot AND we may have any two cards since we were a blind so no one can put us on a specific range of hands.

[deception5]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think everyone would fold here to a flop bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

He said he wanted to bet the turn. I agree, I tend to bet this turn as well, you probably have the best hand and don't want to give away a free card. People tend to think you were trying to slowplay/check/raise and it only needs to work 1/3 of the time.

[grjr]

[ QUOTE ]
Meh. I don't think everyone would fold here to a flop bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I didn't say flop bet I said turn bet. I woudn't bet the flop here either.

[GrunchCan]

[ QUOTE ]
I would expect to take it down there at least 2 out of 3 times.

[/ QUOTE ]

No way do you take it down that often with 3 opponents. But you probably do take it down 1:2, which is what you need to be +EV for a pure bluff, and there's probably a sliver of value here. Betting here is fine.