Odds of a major downswing?

[rvg72]

[ QUOTE ]
The chances of having a 10 buyin drop over 300 is pretty close to 100%, if not 100%.

[/ QUOTE ]

It depends on which question you are asking - having a 10 buyin drop during the course of 300 SNG's is one thing (which the 15% ROI player has about a 95% chance of happening) but being down 10 or more buyins after 300 SNG's is a different question.

My App doesn't really give you results like that without doing a little work so first you need to convert -10 over 300 to an ROI so that would be about -3%. The chance of this 15% ROI player getting -3% ROI or worse over 300 SNG's is about 2.5%.

rvg