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#11
09-03-2005, 09:12 AM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
Hey, we broke our cherries the same day!
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (8 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB 3-bets</font>, MP1 folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, BB calls. Flop: (9.50 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, Hero calls. Turn: (5.75 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls. River: (7.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls. Final Pot: 9.75 BB Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF"> BB has Td Tc (straight, queen high). Hero has Ah Kh (straight flush, ace high). Outcome: Hero wins 9.75 BB. </font> 
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#12
09-03-2005, 09:18 AM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
its a about 600K:1 flopping one of those right? NH
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#14
09-03-2005, 09:54 AM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] its a about 600K:1 flopping one of those right? NH [/ QUOTE ] 19599:1. [/ QUOTE ] FYP
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#15
09-03-2005, 03:19 PM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] its a about 600K:1 flopping one of those right? NH [/ QUOTE ] 19599:1. [/ QUOTE ] FYP [/ QUOTE ] (3 choose 3) / (50 choose 3) - 1 = 510203. That is, once you've been dealt AKs of a fixed suit, there is only one unordered flop that gives you ar royal flush. Since there are (50 choose 3) unordered flops, the probability that a royal flush is flopped is 1/510204.
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#16
09-03-2005, 03:22 PM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
[ QUOTE ]
That is, once you've been dealt AKs of a fixed suit, there is only one unordered flop that gives you ar royal flush. Since there are (50 choose 3) unordered flops, the probability that a royal flush is flopped is 1/510204. [/ QUOTE ] I think that's the probability of flopping a royal with AKs; but if you haven't looked at your down cards yet, you could have AQs, ATs, AJs, KQs, KJs, etc. and all other combos that can flop royals. Maybe that's the stat he was giving.
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#17
09-03-2005, 03:23 PM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] That is, once you've been dealt AKs of a fixed suit, there is only one unordered flop that gives you ar royal flush. Since there are (50 choose 3) unordered flops, the probability that a royal flush is flopped is 1/510204. [/ QUOTE ] I think that's the probability of flopping a royal with AKs; but if you haven't looked at your down cards yet, you could have AQs, ATs, AJs, KQs, KJs, etc. and all other combos that can flop royals. Maybe that's the stat he was giving. [/ QUOTE ] Yes, but I was answering the orginal question of the probability of flopping a royal, not the probability of being dealt suited broadway AND flopping a royal. (Also the number I gave applies to the probability of flopping a royal once you've been dealt ANY suited broadway.)
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#18
09-04-2005, 02:57 PM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] its a about 600K:1 flopping one of those right? NH [/ QUOTE ] 19599:1. [/ QUOTE ] FYP [/ QUOTE ] (3 choose 3) / (50 choose 3) - 1 = 510203. That is, once you've been dealt AKs of a fixed suit, there is only one unordered flop that gives you ar royal flush. Since there are (50 choose 3) unordered flops, the probability that a royal flush is flopped is 1/510204. [/ QUOTE ] Last time I checked... 50 choose 3 = 19600... but hey... maybe it's changed in the last 5 seconds!
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#19
09-04-2005, 03:21 PM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] its a about 600K:1 flopping one of those right? NH [/ QUOTE ] 19599:1. [/ QUOTE ] FYP [/ QUOTE ] (3 choose 3) / (50 choose 3) - 1 = 510203. That is, once you've been dealt AKs of a fixed suit, there is only one unordered flop that gives you ar royal flush. Since there are (50 choose 3) unordered flops, the probability that a royal flush is flopped is 1/510204. [/ QUOTE ] Last time I checked... 50 choose 3 = 19600... but hey... maybe it's changed in the last 5 seconds! [/ QUOTE ] That's weird; I used the google calculator to do the calculation. Anyway, you're right, (50 choose 3) is 19600 so the correct answer is 19599:1. You're an idiot though.
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#20
09-04-2005, 03:37 PM
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Re: It took about 60,000 hands, but I did it (NC)
[ QUOTE ]
You're an idiot though. [/ QUOTE ] I'm hurt, but as long as you feel better!
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