Two Turn Checks vs. NemesisXX

[Danenania]

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1 is hot.

For 2, let me see if I can guess your reasoning. You don't bet flop because MP is loose and aggro and will often raise you with nothing or call.

You hit a Q sweet. You are wondering why the aggro MP didn't bet the flop and fear he might have an ace. If not there's a good chance he'll bluff it this time around. If you are ahead these guys are probably drawing pretty slim and the pot is small.

Nemesis bets the river. Hmm. I'm not exactly sure what he could have here. I don't think he would value bet a 6 or a 7 here. I think he would instead induce a bluff from the aggro button. I would also guess that he would bet a 6 or 7 on the flop or turn a lot (well I guess that's what I think a good player would do. Maybe not Nemesis...). Therefore I think his most likely hand is a bluff or an ace that went for a checkraise on the turn for some reason. Therefore I would call.

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Yep, this was pretty much my thinking on the turn check. For the river raise, would it change your mind if I told you she called with K6o in the first hand? Also I'm not sure she's sophisticated enough to check an Ace or a big hand again on this turn because she strongly tends towards fastplays and pounding. However it's also pretty unlikely for her to check the turn with a 6, 7, Q, or PP. My thought was that I almost certainly had her beat, and there was some chance she'd make a bad payoff with something like K or Q high so I might as well raise since MP is never overcalling.