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  #11  
Old 05-17-2005, 10:50 AM
Loci Loci is offline
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Default Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?

If he's a "rock" what two spades can he be playing? He obviously could have A/x spades, but Rocks don't generally play A/x because they get into too much trouble post flop.
Call. If you're beat, it's still a EV+ play in the long run imo.
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  #12  
Old 05-17-2005, 10:56 AM
LuvDemNutz LuvDemNutz is offline
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Default Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?

[ QUOTE ]
If he's a "rock" what two spades can he be playing? He obviously could have A/x spades, but Rocks don't generally play A/x because they get into too much trouble post flop.
Call. If you're beat, it's still a EV+ play in the long run imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think the point is he's loose preflop but he doesn't go to showdown without the nuts or near nuts.

A 32/5 player easily plays Axs.

Despite his stats, I think you have to go broke here since he could also have a set.
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  #13  
Old 05-17-2005, 12:12 PM
meow_meow meow_meow is offline
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Default Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?

I don't think SD numbers are going to be very accurate, unless you have a sizeable sample against villain.

I don't know that I would, but I think you can fold here as long as you respect your opponent. All of the betting up to his turn raise screams flush for you and nut-flush for him. This, coupled with the K, Q, J and T being off the board, makes his having AXs much more likely.

Plus, you are getting less than 3:2 to put your whole stack in.

So, can't fault you for calling, pretty sure I would have, but a good case can be made for folding as well.
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  #14  
Old 05-17-2005, 01:11 PM
Loci Loci is offline
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Default Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?

If that's the case then he could just as easily have suited connectors on the low side of it further validating the call.
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  #15  
Old 05-17-2005, 03:11 PM
Poker879 Poker879 is offline
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Default Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?

Results?
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  #16  
Old 05-17-2005, 03:15 PM
Poker879 Poker879 is offline
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Default Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?

I could see if Hero didn't also have the J, leaving that as a possibility for the villian, but since he has the K and the J, I just can't see calling here. Villian must realize Hero has a flush, and probably beats 9 high flush.
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  #17  
Old 05-17-2005, 10:23 PM
THATWACOKID THATWACOKID is offline
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Default Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?

Villian had Ax spades.
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