#29
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Re: Are you guys in autobet mode if you raise pre flop?
The things I consider are:
<ul type="square"> [*] Am I drawing to a good hand?[*] What's the WTSD % of my opposition and how does this relate to my pot odds?[*] How many of them are there?[*] Do I have any reason to believe they have a decent hand?[*] How likely is it that someone else will bet if I don't?[*] How likely is it that I'll be raised if I bet?[/list] That flop is bad because you're just drawing to a pair while other hands are drawing to straights or flushes. If you land the A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] or K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], you'll either be way ahead or way behind and you won't be able to play aggressively. You've only got 4 clean outs, but there are 17 scary cards that could wreck your hand even when you make it. Yuck. The flush draws may even raise you. Basically, I prefer to bet out with overcards if I'm semi-bluffing. People with nothing will (presumably) fold and I want anyone who just flopped a small pair to fold because they think I have a big pocket pair. But if they don't fold, I want the chance to improve to a big pair. I also prefer to do this when I have reason to think my opponents don't like their hands, such as if I'm only up against the blinds, or my opponents are very loose with their pre-flop calls, or my opponents are weak-tight and appear to be playing fit-and-fold. Your odds of folding everyone out go down very quickly the more opponents you have. If you estimate each opponent has a 30% chance of folding, then with 3 opponents your odds of folding all of them are 36-to-1. Not good. On the other hand, if the flop looks particularly useless (2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]), then maybe you estimate each opponent has a 60% chance of folding, and then your odds are 3.6-to-1. As you can see, the difference (for you) between a coordinated flop and an uncoordianted flop is huge. :-) I don't do the math out every time, I just estimate. |
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