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Old 10-03-2005, 05:02 PM
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Default Push?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t4000 (8 handed) converter

SB (t74151)
Hero (t44159)
UTG (t33067)
UTG+1 (t63314)
MP1 (t196687)
MP2 (t106120)
CO (t103286)
Button (t31953)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to t8000</font>, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>, Hero calls t4000.

Flop: (t13400) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets t8000</font>, Hero calls t8000.

Turn: (t29400) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero ...</font>

No particular read on UTG. My thoughts is that he is raising here with something like Ax. Probably lower kicker than J since I saw him move all in with AQ earlier.

Comments on all streets are welcome.
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Old 10-03-2005, 06:54 PM
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Default Re: Push?

Flop looks good, and preflop looks good.

On the turn, I might be inclined to go all in, since you got an over which might be an out (very doubtful though if you are right on an Ax, but if he had a low pair...), you got A and 9 as outs, and any heart, which makes 13-17 outs. Even if you are behind to a hand like QA (not likely, flop bet looks like a continuation bet), you got such a good drawing hand on the turn that you are still a 31% chance to improve to a win.

And if he doesn't have a pair, he is way behind. In fact, you might be able to bluff him off a lower pocket pair here if that was what he had going for the stop n go type bet.

I think if you checked it, he would make a 16K bet here, and if you wanted to play further, you would have to commit yourself to the pot, and going all in over the top there wouldn't get him to fold.

I'm with you, I'd gamble and go all in right there, you got 2 good draws and a possible overcard. but not likely if he does have an ace like you said (would make his straight), and AK isn't going anywhere either right here if he had that. So you got as little as 9 outs, and as many as 14 I think (will assume he has Ax since that seems likely). I'd gamble it up, a push might even get him to fold here, and you would get a nice pot.
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