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  #1  
Old 12-01-2005, 07:35 PM
RED_RAIN RED_RAIN is offline
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Default Re: AA raise the river?

[ QUOTE ]
I agree. It isn't completely out of the question, so the OP doesnt need to get to carried away in this spot.


Tex

[/ QUOTE ]

How you think a guy with these stats has QTo or QTs is really making me wonder. I'd like to change my answer to he has AK.
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  #2  
Old 12-01-2005, 07:38 PM
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Default Re: AA raise the river?

I said that it is unlikely but not out of the question. The PF raise could be viewed as a steal, which would make opponent correct to re-raise and 10+10 hand PF.

And to take what you said, the guy has stats that would indicate that he either has a set or the nuts given his action.

Therefore, I find it correct to raise this river and just call a three bet.



Any questions???


Tex
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  #3  
Old 12-01-2005, 07:43 PM
RED_RAIN RED_RAIN is offline
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Default Re: AA raise the river?

I agree with everything except QT.
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  #4  
Old 12-01-2005, 07:50 PM
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Default Re: AA raise the river?

If you disagree with QT, then how can you agree to not cap this river?



Tex
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  #5  
Old 12-01-2005, 07:59 PM
RED_RAIN RED_RAIN is offline
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Default Re: AA raise the river?

The off chance he is going nutty with AQ or QQ. I think QQ is just about unlikely as QT though.
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  #6  
Old 12-02-2005, 03:42 PM
nykenny nykenny is offline
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Default Re: AA raise the river?

CAP the river? LOL.

21/14/1.2 to me is SOMEWHAT TIGHT, VERY AGGRO, LITTLE BIT TRICKY.

i don't see how him having QTs or QT (less likely) is completely out of the question.

and please, why EVER cap on the river with a set on a 4 straight board?

IMO the river action here isn't that cruicial. I like the turn cap, but i guess that's a no brainer...

- Kenny
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  #7  
Old 12-02-2005, 04:04 PM
RED_RAIN RED_RAIN is offline
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Default Re: AA raise the river?

[ QUOTE ]
and please, why EVER cap on the river with a set on a 4 straight board?

[/ QUOTE ]

Correct

Because of...
[ QUOTE ]
I like the turn cap, but i guess that's a no brainer...

[/ QUOTE ]
...
[ QUOTE ]
IMO the river action here isn't that cruicial.

[/ QUOTE ]
is the only interesting part.

On a side note by reading the stats again of 21/14/1.2 for me to believe that he has a Q here...I think he would have to have an aggression of at least 1.8-2.0. I can actually see why/how he played the Js like he did. I thinks Js are right after the AK or KK guess. QT or AQ is below even say TT. I just really don't see him having any Q hand he plays like this and I think his stats show that. 14/1.2 just isn't gonna 3 bet here out of position IMO without a higher aggression or higher PFR number. All just thoughts.
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