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  #1  
Old 11-16-2005, 12:02 AM
Jurollo Jurollo is offline
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Default Would someone take this bet with me?

$100 bet.

From the beginning of December till the end of January... I play the Party $40K every night possible (3-5 nights a week), I contend I would make the final table once or more from the fields of 2000+
~Justin
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  #2  
Old 11-16-2005, 12:08 AM
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

how about a bet and/or pool with more than one person of who makes the final table first or top finishes?
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  #3  
Old 11-16-2005, 12:08 AM
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

i'd take that bet....pm me
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  #4  
Old 11-16-2005, 12:09 AM
Exitonly Exitonly is offline
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

i'll take the bet
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  #5  
Old 11-16-2005, 12:10 AM
ilya ilya is offline
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

I would take this bet, but only if just a few other people took it with me.
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  #6  
Old 11-16-2005, 02:51 AM
KneeCo KneeCo is offline
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

If you would guarantee no more than 35 tries, I would take this bet. Hehe, no offense though.
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  #7  
Old 11-16-2005, 03:28 AM
Jurollo Jurollo is offline
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

No offense taken, just something fun I might do when December comes.
~Justin
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  #8  
Old 11-16-2005, 03:42 AM
DeadMoneyOC DeadMoneyOC is offline
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

I would give you from today until the last day of January.
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  #9  
Old 11-16-2005, 03:45 AM
CardSharpCook CardSharpCook is offline
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

ok, 200 tables, you have to make the FT. .5% chance. 40 tries. We need to hit our 99.5% shot 40 times in a row. .995^40 = 81.8% chance that we win IF you are an average player. However, I've got faith in you. I think you are twice as good as the field. So... .99^40 = 66.9% shot. You will make the FT 33.1% of the time in 40 consecutive tries. Yeah, I'll take that bet! What is my EV? 200*.669 + 0*.331 - 100 = $33.80. Sweet! You good for another $100 bet or am I too late?
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  #10  
Old 11-16-2005, 02:19 PM
FishInAPhoneBooth FishInAPhoneBooth is offline
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Default Re: Would someone take this bet with me?

Have you played the $40k lately? I think our man is at least 3x as good as the field.
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