#11
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
[ QUOTE ]
With everything that happened to him at the WSOP and how his cash games are going (http://fullcontactpoker.com/poker-jo...amp;ucat=&) I wonder how he manages to remain tilt-free. Seriously, being stuck a quarter of a million dollars after playing as well as possible = [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I like this quote ".... I made it $2600 with the K-9 of clubs. Barry made it $10,000 behind me as he likes to do before the flop with weakish hands.... Barry... sent his money to the center with the Ac Jd" So Short handed.. AJo is a weakish hand? Although I think Barry's call is pretty bad. There is 30ish thousand in the middle before Daniel makes it 110 all-in. So 110 to call to win 140 110:140 Needs about 47% equity to call here, and after running the numbers, putting Daniel on a wide range of hands.. (77+/22-33+/Made flush) Barry only has about a 40% equity against this hand range. |
#12
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] With everything that happened to him at the WSOP and how his cash games are going (http://fullcontactpoker.com/poker-jo...amp;ucat=&) I wonder how he manages to remain tilt-free. Seriously, being stuck a quarter of a million dollars after playing as well as possible = [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I like this quote ".... I made it $2600 with the K-9 of clubs. Barry made it $10,000 behind me as he likes to do before the flop with weakish hands.... Barry... sent his money to the center with the Ac Jd" So Short handed.. AJo is a weakish hand? Although I think Barry's call is pretty bad. There is 30ish thousand in the middle before Daniel makes it 110 all-in. So 110 to call to win 140 110:140 [/ QUOTE ] There's actually 40-ish in the pot. 10K from both PF + blinds and antes (negligible.. between 1 and 2K) + 10K from both post flop (Barry bet 10K, Daniel put in 10K to match plus 110 more). Still looks like a fold to me. |
#13
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] With everything that happened to him at the WSOP and how his cash games are going (http://fullcontactpoker.com/poker-jo...amp;ucat=&) I wonder how he manages to remain tilt-free. Seriously, being stuck a quarter of a million dollars after playing as well as possible = [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I like this quote ".... I made it $2600 with the K-9 of clubs. Barry made it $10,000 behind me as he likes to do before the flop with weakish hands.... Barry... sent his money to the center with the Ac Jd" So Short handed.. AJo is a weakish hand? Although I think Barry's call is pretty bad. There is 30ish thousand in the middle before Daniel makes it 110 all-in. So 110 to call to win 140 110:140 [/ QUOTE ] There's actually 40-ish in the pot. 10K from both PF + blinds and antes (negligible.. between 1 and 2K) + 10K from both post flop (Barry bet 10K, Daniel put in 10K to match plus 110 more). Still looks like a fold to me. [/ QUOTE ] if all info is correct what's the deal with these top guys playing like the average party player. |
#14
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
You simply can't play like the average solid rock and expect to win anything at those stakes.
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#15
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
[ QUOTE ]
Although I think Barry's call is pretty bad. There is 30ish thousand in the middle before Daniel makes it 110 all-in. So 110 to call to win 140 110:140 Needs about 47% equity to call here, and after running the numbers, putting Daniel on a wide range of hands.. (77+/22-33+/Made flush) Barry only has about a 40% equity against this hand range. [/ QUOTE ] Let's say that the hand range you selected is about right. 110:140 tells me that Barry needs 44% to call, not 47 (110/250=.44). Also if there is in fact 40 grand plus already in the pot, then Barry only needs 110/261= .423 to make it an EV neutral call. So he has about 40% vs needing at least 42.3% against DN's likely range of hands. Bad call? Only marginally, and then only if DN never bluffs with nothing. If he's bluffing here 5% of the time (or more) though .... |
#16
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
Getting married to a very attractive, Asian woman that he loves = WHO THE HELL CARES IF HES RUNNING BAD CERTAINLY NOT HIM
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#17
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
regression to the mean
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#18
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
it's all variance- LOL
RB |
#19
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
[ QUOTE ]
if all info is correct what's the deal with these top guys playing like the average party player. [/ QUOTE ] I'm not too positive, but this "Barry" guy and "Daniel" might have some sort of history of playing together. That could come into play. And they *might* think that they could run into each other again in the future. I don't know though. That might have some effect. |
#20
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Re: Jesus, Negreanu is running REALLY badly this year
Wow, he says on his blog he just took a 447k hit on the second day of High Stakes Poker. I know he's loaded, but that's still gotta hurt.
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