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  #21  
Old 12-21-2005, 09:38 PM
QTip QTip is offline
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Default Re: Rest of Flop and Turn

Sorry...MP3 had Qh8h for the flopped straight
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  #22  
Old 12-21-2005, 09:53 PM
hobbsmann hobbsmann is offline
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Default slight hijack

This is a slight hijack of this thread to alert all you guys that have aggresion factor problems. You guys really need to listen to Jason_t in this thread when he talks about calling. This hand is great example of when calling with what appears to be a great hand is the optimal play. I think too often we are blinded by the whole 2+2 'me have good hand, me must protect hand, me raise' mantra. Remember calling is ok.

***end hijack***
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  #23  
Old 12-21-2005, 10:01 PM
QTip QTip is offline
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Default Re: slight hijack

Hobbs:

Not a hijack. I think calling here is best as well. Had I seen the 7 for what is was, I would not have raised.
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  #24  
Old 12-21-2005, 10:13 PM
toss toss is offline
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Default Re: Rest of Flop and Turn

At least you weren't last place.
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  #25  
Old 12-21-2005, 10:24 PM
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Default Re: slight hijack

This pot is 14BB when it makes it to Hero.

Hero only needs to increase his equity by less than 7% to make this raise correct.

If you assume that MP3 is WAY more likely to have 2 pair or even just a flush or straight draw, than he is to have flopped a straight -

Lone K.
AK.
Bottom pair.
Next to bottom pair
Second pair.
Weak top pair.

If Hero folds ANY ONE of these hands, the raise was worth it.

Even if one person does have an 8.

For every hand that folds, Hero increases his equity by 1.5% for when one of the 3 remaining 8's falls on the river. He also gains ~5% equity by folding a lone K.

Just because we now know what people held, doesn't make the raise incorrect at the time.
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