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  #11  
Old 12-07-2005, 05:32 AM
ohnonotthat ohnonotthat is offline
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Default Re: Win rate at showdown too high

No, it cannot.

However, it can win 80%+ as much with much smaller swings.

*

Oh, btw, who is the broad in your bio ?
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  #12  
Old 12-07-2005, 09:23 AM
Kurn, son of Mogh Kurn, son of Mogh is offline
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Default Re: Win rate at showdown too high

Thanks. My reply was only half the answer.
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  #13  
Old 12-07-2005, 09:34 AM
Kurn, son of Mogh Kurn, son of Mogh is offline
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Default Re: Win rate at showdown too high

Well, the other half is checking and folding when a scare card hits. So you have KQ and are heads up on a Q high board. The river brings an A - you check, your opponent bets and you fold. Say there are 6 big bets in the pot after he bets. He doesn't have an A 85% of the time. So when you bet this river and get called or raised, you probably lose 2/3 of the time, but its +EV even though it drives your win at showdown rate down.
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  #14  
Old 12-07-2005, 04:30 PM
DarkForceRising DarkForceRising is offline
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Default Re: Win rate at showdown too high

[ QUOTE ]
Well, the other half is checking and folding when a scare card hits. So you have KQ and are heads up on a Q high board. The river brings an A - you check, your opponent bets and you fold. Say there are 6 big bets in the pot after he bets. He doesn't have an A 85% of the time. So when you bet this river and get called or raised, you probably lose 2/3 of the time, but its +EV even though it drives your win at showdown rate down.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bingo. I am very guilty of this.
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  #15  
Old 12-07-2005, 04:31 PM
DarkForceRising DarkForceRising is offline
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Default Re: Win rate at showdown too high

[ QUOTE ]
Oh, btw, who is the broad in your bio ?

[/ QUOTE ]

Kate Bush.
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