#11
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Re: Standard Deviation questions.
I concur 100%, but I add one caveat. That works as long as you're looking for 90% confidence or less. Once you get above that, the violations of assumptions can kill you.
When people talk about 6-sigma performance, meaning 6 standard deviations above the mean, meaning 1 chance in a billion; I say if you think you've achieved it you've underestimated sigma. 6 people in the world can call me a liar, I don't think I've met any of them yet. |
#12
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Re: Standard Deviation questions.
The variance follows a chi-square distribution (under some assumptions). If you just want answers, look at an elementary stat book, e.g., Triola. I did post some such numbers a long while ago.
The upshot is that estimating your variance takes a lot less than for your EV, so don't sweat it. The t-statistic does not seem really relevant here. Do not become obsessed with variance. If you do, the crazies will get you. |
#13
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Re: Standard Deviation questions.
For example, to estimate sigma to within 5% with 95% confidence, you need a sample of at least 767 (hours).
Change 5% to 10%, you need only n=191. These numbers assume a underlying normal population. |
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