#12
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Re: Envelopes! (Problem #1)
For question #1:
I can't see any way to maximize your expectation, unless you can make some kind of reasonable assumption about the range/distribution of possible values. For me personally, I'd probably choose some value Y which I'd be satisfied with. If the envelope I pick has more than Y, I stick, otherwise I swap -- no regrets either way. Unless, of course, he's kind enough to tell you how much money's in the unopened enveloped. That would make your choice much easier. PP |
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