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#1
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
[ QUOTE ]
Here's one problem with being able to see your opponent's hole cards. Imagine this scenario: You're on camera at the WSOP main event. First hand and you're even with your opponents. You pick up T-T in mid position and raise. Sammy Farha is in late position calls and the two of you are heads up seeing a flop of A-A-T. He has A-T. [/ QUOTE ] Option A)Continuation bet on the flop. Don't bet anywhere else...when you meet resistance, flip your cards face up into the board and go,"I guess my Jacks are no good." Then be horrified at how you misread your hand and how they are pushing the pot to Sammy. Option B)Just check and fold. When someone sees it on TV, claim it wasn't what you actually had and that ESPN must have made it up. In fact, I think it would be good practice to just hide your cards from the hole card cameras Seidel/Lisandro style. Dennis |
#2
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
Option C: Call out Sammy's hand on national TV and blow everyone away with your amazing hand reading ability as you go on to win the biggest tournament in poker history.
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#3
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
Not to beat a dead horse, but I had a chance to meet Phil Hellmuth last night, and I was curious for his viewpoint on this topic.
I asked "If you could see the hole cards of everyone else in the main event, what percentage do you win?" His answer "Almost 100." |
#4
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
This is a huge grunch.
If you had this ability you would not win every tournament but you would win tons of them. The most important stage of the tournament would be early on, when you had an equal stack (or smaller if those around you win first). In this situation losing on a bad beat (say you get all in with JJ vs TT and he spikes a T) you would be out or crippled. As your tournament went on and your chipstack grows you would start becoming a huge favorite. You would always get your chips in with the best hand (small to large +EV situations) and sinc eyou have a bigger stack even a bad beat or two could be overcome. So overal you may win say 25-50% of big tournaments you entered, but if you make it past say day 1 and are among the chip leaders you may very well have a strong % chance (70%+) of winning. |
#5
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
[ QUOTE ]
In this situation losing on a bad beat (say you get all in with JJ vs TT and he spikes a T) you would be out or crippled. [/ QUOTE ] You would never do this. It is too easy for you to win chips in situations where there is no confrontation, or where the confrontation is won (guy has top pair vs your set or straight vs your flush, or on the river where you have won). If on the first hand of the tourney, you were in the BB with AA and the SB pushed, you should fold no matter what his cards are (barring something asinine like he has 77, both other 7s are gone, you have the same suits and the 6s and 8s are in short supply/gone. |
#6
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
[ QUOTE ]
If you had this ability you would not win every tournament but you would win tons of them. [/ QUOTE ] This pretty much sums this topic up the best. |
#7
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
Follow up question: "Phil, what if you couldn't see everyone's hole cards?"
His answer "Almost 100." |
#8
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Re: What if you knew everyone\'s hole cards? (continued)
Hahaha.
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