In running/halftime dilema

WichitaDM · #1 11-20-2005, 06:43 PM

Have been following the Indy/Cin game. Put 2 units on cinn +10.5 and then 1 unit on +14 during the game. Now am trying to figure out if i should cover these at halftime or not. Cincy seems to be unable to stop indy ever. Any advice?

WichitaDM · #2 11-20-2005, 07:04 PM

can get indy -8 for the whole game right now, is it worth going for the middle?

legend42 · #3 11-20-2005, 07:10 PM

What were the odds on the other bets?

WichitaDM · #4 11-20-2005, 07:12 PM

basically all -110.

WichitaDM · #5 11-20-2005, 07:16 PM

Pretty sure i should go for the middle and here is why.
Possible outcomes
Indy wins by 15+ lose .3units
Indy wins by 11-14 only lose the 10.5 bet
Indy wins by 8-9-10 win/push all bets
Any other outcome win both cincy bets.

So basically it takes all the risk out of it and im freerolling for a big score if it finishes indy by 8-9-10 or a relatively large win if its 11-14 indy which i see as both being reasonable outcomes.

Homer · #6 11-20-2005, 07:24 PM

[ QUOTE ]
can get indy -8 for the whole game right now, is it worth going for the middle?

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you believe at this moment Indy -8 is +EV? If so, bet it. If not, don't. Looking to hedge all the time is not the way to go about sportsbetting.