good river raise bluff?

kapw7 · #1 10-06-2005, 06:50 PM

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

BB has tight stats: 22/9 ABC poker.

Preflop: Hero is MP with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises, 3 folds, BB calls.

Flop: (4.33 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.

Turn: (3.16 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls.

River: (5.16 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises

Noodles · #2 10-06-2005, 06:59 PM

this is terrible,you trying to represent a t or 9?
tight means he had something when he bet and he isnt folding enough

kapw7 · #3 10-06-2005, 07:13 PM

I'm sure he has something. This can be overcards, straight draw, flush draw that beat me b/c of that river card but can fold to a river raise. Tight players can bet-fold on scary boards. I've learned that here. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

deepsquat · #4 10-06-2005, 08:03 PM

what do u think he will fold that beats u?

No way he folds and overpair, no way he folds a T or a 9,

88 is the only hand that I could see him possibly folding.

Let him bet his smaller PP or A high. Just call, he wont call a raise on this river with anything you beat imo and he wont fold anything that beats u. I see no value in this play.

If you have a missed flush draw or something that may fold a hand that beats u like Ace high then i may not mind this play but i dont think this is a good board 4 it.

deepsquat · #5 10-06-2005, 08:11 PM

dah daydreaming- A high beats us. let me have a think. Im too tired... lol

callydrias · #6 10-06-2005, 09:04 PM

Spew. You're putting in 2BB to win 6.16. This will not work 35% of the time.

Edit: Oops, yeah, I meant 25%. I don't think it will work that often either.

me454555 · #7 10-06-2005, 09:09 PM

Raise the turn, fold to a 3 bet. I think thats your best line here b/c even if teh 9 doesn't pair, you calling a river bet right? If he 3 bets your on the turn, your hand is toast anyway. this way you charge overs more $$ to draw on you.

kapw7 · #8 10-06-2005, 09:24 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Spew. You're putting in 2BB to win 6.16. This will not work 35% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

You mean 25%. I think it will work against this opponent. Not 100% sure though.

kapw7 · #9 10-06-2005, 09:28 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Raise the turn, fold to a 3 bet. I think thats your best line here b/c even if teh 9 doesn't pair, you calling a river bet right? If he 3 bets your on the turn, your hand is toast anyway. this way you charge overs more $$ to draw on you.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree raising the turn is a better play.
And fold to a river bet if a 9 (as in the present hand) falls? Or would you play that differently?

me454555 · #10 10-06-2005, 11:40 PM

I think you can toss to a river bet b/c he's not betting w/less than A high. If he bets the river on you after you pop the turn, I wouldn't be surprised if he showed down a boat