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#1
05-07-2005, 06:23 PM
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Giacomo?
didn't see that one coming...
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#5
05-07-2005, 06:31 PM
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Re: Giacomo?
I hit my ticket on the "field" at 2-1 in pool 1 of the future wagering. Big deal...$50 to win on the field gets me a $100 profit, but I bet $60 or so in gimmick bets with Bellamy Road...whopping profit of $40 for this race...
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#9
05-08-2005, 01:16 AM
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Re: Giacomo?
If you buy every possible $2 superfecta in a 20-horse field, it should cost:
$2 * 20 * 19 * 18 * 17 = $100k, give or take a few thou. So it seems to me, if you have a crapload of money, this isn't a horrible bet... if a long longshot wins once in 15 years, you break even-ish. The only time you lose is when the favorites all come through? Am I missing something or do others agree with this analysis? BTW, I got raped this year's derby. WTF is this 50:1 longshot [censored].
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#10
05-08-2005, 02:50 AM
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Re: Giacomo?
[ QUOTE ] 34922893-1 5 12:46pm 12-Feb-05 7-May-05 Future Horses: Kentucky Derby - Odds To Win- DH c... +2860 20.00 572.00 Odds To Win- DH counts as win Kentucky Derby - no refund on scratch Giacomo [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] 39323072-1 24 2:37pm 7-May-05 7-May-05 Horses Tri. Box Churchill, Race #10 3.Sun King, 9.Greeley's Gal... 210.00 -210.00 (210 x 1.00) 3.Sun King, 9.Greeley's Galaxy, 11.High Fly, 12.Afleet Alex, 14.Wilko, 16.Bellamy Road, 18.Closing Argument [/ QUOTE ] My friends and I went in 7 ways on the tri-box. We each picked a horse. I had bet Giacomo back in February, he floundered in all his prep races. So ... the horse I decided to put in at the last minute, instead of Giacomo was #14 Wilco. If I would have put ol' #10 down instead of 14, the group cashes a 70k ticket. It was very hard to cheer when I found out I hit for $570 (especially since I only got 28 - 1 on future book). That is one reason my name is Brown Thumb.
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