This is an ace every single time

[Lmn55d]

I agree it's a call. Out of curiosity, how often do you think I am good? I would say 1 in 4.

[Spicymoose]

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I agree it's a call. Out of curiosity, how often do you think I am good? I would say 1 in 4.

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How did you come up with this number? Was it an intuitive guess, or did you do some math? If you want to, you can instead of guessing the final result, guess how he might play certain hands with a certain percentage, and than figure out from those hypothesis how often you are good. I think this is a fairly simple way to get a more accurate guestimate.

[Lmn55d]

a guess, I'm too lazy and don't care enough to do any sort of math. Also when you do math for this sort of stuff it all depends on your assumptions so it's not that accurate.

[Spicymoose]

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a guess, I'm too lazy and don't care enough to do any sort of math

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Thats too bad. You would probably learn something and increase your hourly income.


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Also when you do math for this sort of stuff it all depends on your assumptions so it's not that accurate.

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I agree it is only as accurate as your assumptions. That said it, it is far more accurate than if you just make a guess of how good you are without thinking about hand ranges and probability of those hand ranges.

[sthief09]

this certainly could be spades, an 8, a deuce, or a pocket pair. very niec board to bluff on considering you checked through the turn

[Drontier]

when i first read this hand, i thought this was insanity. then i realized you really aren't good much if at all. the only hands i see him have that don't have an ace are (if hes aggro enough to raise) K8 Q8 J8 98 T8, (K8 and Q8 beat u btw). I think a plain 8 check calls this, knowing he cant get a better hand to fold ever(btw i think pp does the same). You do beat some randomass holdings that decided to call the flop with T9 high. But this has to be severely discounted even in HU situations. (and if u have reads this can be completely eliminated). So what hands can he have here. I see QJ, Kx, and the rare times he has spades. I have no idea how often you are good here, but i want to say worse than 1 in 4.