Call a donk's flop push with A high? Party 10 + 1

Burno · #1 07-23-2005, 03:54 AM

Party 10 + 1. Villian (SB) in this hand is very LAG and very bad.

I have 745 in MP, blinds 25/50. I open for 150 with AQo, only villian in SB calls. He has 425 before posting.

Flop T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] . I have the Q of hearts.

Villian pushes for 275 into a pot of 350.

Hero?

My thoughts and action in reply.

Burno · #2 07-23-2005, 04:04 AM

I thought for a second and called.

Like I said, villian was bad. Here's the range I put him on. Sound about right?

Underpair 30% I'd expect him to push any pair preflop, but he may have something like 33-66 here. I'm only a small dog to an underpair and am getting more than the right price to call.

Draw 30% He could easily have two hearts, QJ, KJ, or 89 here

a Nine 10% I'm a 3:1 dog against most nines, but it's a lot more likely he has another hand than a 9.

a Ten 5% There are two on board, and I wouldn't expect him to lead all in if he flopped trips.

Air 25% Like I said, He's bad and aggresssive.

SammyKid11 · #3 07-23-2005, 04:23 AM

Yeah, I mean...I'm not calling this without a really SOLID read. But if you've got one, maybe...I dunno, though. This seems -EV long term unless you seriously know your opponent.

Benholio · #4 07-23-2005, 04:46 AM

I think this call is fine. Like you said, you have odds against an underpair, and you are actually pretty close to dead even against a 9.

I think the range you put him on is pretty realistic.

jon462 · #5 07-23-2005, 04:48 AM

I wouldnt be surprised if he had AJ or A8 or KJ or any random hand, I like this call.

Hendricks433 · #6 07-23-2005, 05:54 AM

I think its pretty read dependent if your going to call. I think he pushes any pair on this flop. I might call but definetly depends how I feel about the hand and any reads I have on the player. You could definetly be shown any 2 here though if he thinks you missed and will fold.