#31
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
i hate CB in this spot, especially for 1/2 pot, you are going to get called by a lot, and a lot of the time and you have basically only 6 outs to improve
also when he leads into you on the turn, he probably has 77-JJ, and i doubt he will fold an overpair to a raise he definitely doesnt put you on a 4 but really this is a marginal situation that is easily avoided by not CB-ing this flop with button still to act against 3 other players |
#32
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
If he really is weak postflop, then I assume this is a bad spot to bluff. A turn raise from a OOP player usually means bad news. If you c/r, will he actually lay down a hand?
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#33
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
*Only goes to showdown around 20% or so. So somewhat weak postflop.*
What is a strong postflop showdown %? Wish I had something to say about whether you should bluff the turn but I'm really unsure. |
#34
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
You bet the flop into three opponents. He still wants to put $100 (or more) in the pot. King high no good. Next hand.
Next time just check the flop. Someone has a pocket pair and they aren't folding it, especially to that crap bet. Building a bigger pot to steal with nothing is major chip spewing. |
#35
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
Continuation bet is bad. That size CB is worse.
You made a point of saying that hes weak post flop because he gets to showdown 20%. I disagree that this means hes weak, but if you think it makes him weak, then thats all the more reason to fold. How often do YOU get to showdown? |
#36
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
no, you should fold
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#37
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
What would you do with an overpair here? How about a set? I thnk you'd be calling here. A raise reeks badly in this spot.
I don't think there's any hand you would raise with here EXCEPT a bluff and the straight - and if villian is thinking they will know this. |
#38
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
[ QUOTE ]
What would you do with an overpair here? How about a set? I thnk you'd be calling here. A raise reeks badly in this spot. I don't think there's any hand you would raise with here EXCEPT a bluff and the straight - and if villian is thinking they will know this. [/ QUOTE ] My thoughts exactly. |
#39
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
[ QUOTE ]
What is his hand range [/ QUOTE ] You say he's TAG, but with a VPIP of 33 I think he can have a suited connector, since button is in. So, he can have some draws (76, 75, 87, 77) some kind of strong hands (56, 53, set, 88-JJ) and some 4's (44, 34, 54, 64) so I fold A bluff from him seems unlikely |
#40
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Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)
Well I guess it's unanimous. No one likes the CB. No one likes the size of the CB. No one likes to bluff the turn. I'm not sure if I should bother trying to justify any of this hand then. Maybe I should just realize the whole thing is bad. Anyways, I pushed and he folded. Pretty sure he had a small overpair. It just SCREAMED to me that he was leading and folding to a raise with his bet size and the fact that he led out instead of waiting for me to commit myself and then check/raising. I figured that he would check/raise a set or a straight. Or if he decided to bet, he would bet more and hope I called with an overpair. It just seemed SO obvious that he was thinking "I might be good, but I don't want to commit myself so I'll bet only 75 into the 130 pot and fold if he pushes." So I pushed. And he folded.
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