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#1
11-14-2005, 09:49 PM
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Totals analysis MNF
I placed 2 wagers a few mins ago:
Over 40.5 $100 to win $104.25 (Matchbook) Under 41 $107 to win $97.27 (Bowmans) Risking $2.74 to win $104.25 if 41 hits. 41, I believe, is a fairly common number. However, I don't know how often it hits when the wagerable total is in the vicinity of 41. Are the chances at or higher than my risk here of 2.62%? I gathered from Pinny's buy/sell line prices that it's significantly higher than this. 
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#2
11-14-2005, 09:52 PM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
[ QUOTE ]
I placed 2 wagers a few mins ago: Over 40.5 $100 to win $104.25 (Matchbook) Under 41 $107 to win $97.27 (Bowmans) Risking $2.74 to win $104.25 if 41 hits. 41, I believe, is a fairly common number. However, I don't know how often it hits when the wagerable total is in the vicinity of 41. Are the chances at or higher than my risk here of 2.62%? I gathered from Pinny's buy/sell line prices that it's significantly higher than this. [/ QUOTE ] Am I wrong, but isn't your bet on the Under 41 a push if it comes out 41? edit.. reread and realized i'm an idiot [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] gl on the bet
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#3
11-14-2005, 09:53 PM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I placed 2 wagers a few mins ago: Over 40.5 $100 to win $104.25 (Matchbook) Under 41 $107 to win $97.27 (Bowmans) Risking $2.74 to win $104.25 if 41 hits. 41, I believe, is a fairly common number. However, I don't know how often it hits when the wagerable total is in the vicinity of 41. Are the chances at or higher than my risk here of 2.62%? I gathered from Pinny's buy/sell line prices that it's significantly higher than this. [/ QUOTE ] Am I wrong, but isn't your bet on the Under 41 a push if it comes out 41? [/ QUOTE ] It's a soft middle. I win $104.25, not $201.52.
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#4
11-14-2005, 09:59 PM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
just increased it to
200 to win 208.25 Over 40.5 213.85 to win 194.41 Under 41 Risking 5.59 to win 208.25 (2.68%)
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#5
11-14-2005, 10:03 PM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks.
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#6
11-14-2005, 10:05 PM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
[ QUOTE ]
Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks. I don't ordinarily do this because it ties up my NFL wagering money. The difference is the payout comes back before I even start betting wk 11.
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#7
11-14-2005, 11:56 PM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks. I don't ordinarily do this because it ties up my NFL wagering money. The difference is the payout comes back before I even start betting wk 11. [/ QUOTE ] 24-17 here we come
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#8
11-15-2005, 12:56 AM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks. I don't ordinarily do this because it ties up my NFL wagering money. The difference is the payout comes back before I even start betting wk 11. [/ QUOTE ] 24-17 here we come [/ QUOTE ] i smell 41
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#10
11-15-2005, 01:02 AM
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Re: Totals analysis MNF
Holy farking crap. I am having an awful night, but have been telling myself "at least I'll hit the under" (41).
Not.
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