#1
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Worthwhile Semi-Bluff?
This was early today, so I don't entirely recall my opponent. PT has him at 45/19/1.4. I'm having trouble figuring out how often I'm successful here. Is the pot too small for a semi-bluff that may cost me two bets?
** Game ID 599450874 starting - 2005-12-03 12:07:10 ** Running Shoes [Hold 'em] (10.00|20.00 Fixed Limit - Cash Game) Real Money muckthenut posted the small blind - $5.00 ku_kid posted the big blind - $10.00 ** Dealing card to TheBryce: K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2oops2 folded TheBryce raised - $10.00 SongheJe called - $10.00 DonD30 folded muckthenut folded ku_kid folded ** Dealing the flop: 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] TheBryce bet - $10.00 SongheJe raised - $20.00 TheBryce called - $20.00 ** Dealing the turn: T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] TheBryce checked SongheJe bet - $20.00 TheBryce raised - $40.00 |
#2
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Re: Worthwhile Semi-Bluff?
Successful in what sense..him folding?
I'd estimate that works maybe 5% of the time...if your quite lucky. If you don't discount any of your outs at all and you are sure you wont get 3-bet its almost exactly even. Given your A and K outs aren't always good by themselves and you may get 3-bet I dont really like it here. After the flop action I think this guy reads you for overcards and feels his pair is good . |
#3
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Re: Worthwhile Semi-Bluff?
i would probably 3bet the flop. You're pretty money against his range assuming it includes hands like AT/KT. Don't like pulling any moves on the turn he's not folding
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#4
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Re: Worthwhile Semi-Bluff?
[ QUOTE ]
i would probably 3bet the flop. You're pretty money against his range assuming it includes hands like AT/KT. Don't like pulling any moves on the turn he's not folding [/ QUOTE ] Ditto. |
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