#1
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derby odds
anyone know where i can find morning line odds for the derby?
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#2
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Re: derby odds
Which one?
Mack |
#3
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Re: derby odds
The official morning line gets set after the post position draw which is being held late Wednesday afternoon.
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#4
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Re: derby odds
www.DRF.com on wendsday night around 7pm for the oaks and thursday at somepoint for the derby I think.
or you can buy the DRF on thursday and friday |
#5
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Re: derby odds
I think you can get the odds live on ESPN tomorrow...they usually do a Sportscenter based around the Derby draw. Once the post positions are drawn, Mike Watchmaker-I believe, will determine the odds for the race. The top 2 are a given: Bellamy Road will most likely be anywhere from 2-1 morning line to 3-1. Afleet Alex, depending on a good post position draw, will most likely be your 2nd choice at 5-1. Bandini should be your 6 or 8-1 3rd choice. I usually don't endorse a favorite, but if Bellamy Road is 3-1 on Derby Day, he'll get my money. He doesn't even need to run close to that Wood Memorial to beat most of this field... Oh well, I'll post my official bets once the draw takes place tomorrow...
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#6
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Re: derby odds
This is a pretty good snapshot of what things will look like. Don't be fooled by the morning line, either. The joker that sets the ML is sometimes way off.
Bellamy Road 3-1 Afleet Alex 7-2 Bandini 9-2 High Fly 9-1 High Limit 14-1 Noble Causeway 15-1 Wilco 17-1 Sun King 18-1 Greeley's Galaxy 20-1 Flower Alley 30-1 Greater Good 30-1 Coin Silver 40-1 Buzzard's Bay 45-1 Andromada's Hero 50-1 Don't Get Mad 50-1 Spanish Chestnut, Going Wild, Sort It Out >50-1 Giacomo, Closing Argument >80-1 |
#7
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Re: derby odds
Thats pretty close to what I have but wouldn't Don't get mad & Greeleys Galaxy be coupled as well as Bandini & Spanish Chestnut?
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#8
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Re: derby odds
I'm not sure, but I don't think there's any coupling. For some reason I think they changed the coupling rules a few years ago for the Derby. Maybe that was just for common trainers and not owners, however.
Coupled entries for a race as big as the Derby don't make sense. I would hope there is none. |
#9
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Re: derby odds
I hope there is no coupling but each pair I mentioned are owned by the same owners (that is 2 different owners). Its no big deal I already have field covered and sitting on 20% ROI on the derby if I stand pat but I think I can get an extra 5% through some wagering models I have set up i.e wagering a little bit more on the horses I have a the fewest return dollars.
Well Good Luck!!! |
#10
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Re: derby odds
[ QUOTE ]
Noble Causeway 15-1 [/ QUOTE ] For information, this one is by Gaints Causeway and I think this is the first batch of 3 year olds. Footstepsinthesand won our 2000 Guineas, and Maids Causeway came 2nd in the 1000 Guineas, not sure how they will go on dirt though, but both of these travelled well on top of the ground, and they both looked likely to stay on over the extra 1 or 2 furlongs. It seems like the family are all free sweaters so if you do back this one close to the off, don't let the sweating put you off. Regards Mack |
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