#1
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Fold Equity
Is this mathematically sound?
Let's assume we're playing NLHE in a nine handed game. I'm UTG and I decide to raise. Let's also assume that my opponents will only call with QQ-AA and AK. We have a total of 1225 two card starting hands. We have six combos of a pocket pair so that's 18 combos and 16 more combos for AK. That's 34 combos of hands. 34 divided by 1225 is 0.028 or 2.8%. So that means each subsequent player has a 2.8% chance of having a playable hand. I have 8 players yet to act so there is a roughly 22% chance I will be called based on my ranges. Is my math flawed or am I accurate. Thanks. Bruce |
#2
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Re: Fold Equity
You're wrong for two reasons. First there are 1326 starting hands, not 1225. So the odds of one opponent having a playable hand is 34/1326. Secondly, to figure this out for 8 opponents, you can't just multiply 34/1326
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#3
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Re: Fold Equity
You're wrong for two reasons. First there are 1326 starting hands, not 1225. So the odds of one opponent having a playable hand is 34/1326. Secondly, to figure this out for 8 opponents, you can't just multiply 34/1326 by 8 (although this will give you a decent approximation).
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#4
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Help
Thx for the reply. How do you account for eight players? Why
can't you multiply by eight? Sorry for asking a basic question, but it's been 25 years since I received my degree. What I'm really trying to find out is what's the statistical likelyhood if I raise UTG and put my opponents on the above calling range that I will pick up the blinds if they only will call with my assigned range of hands? Bruce |
#5
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Re: Help
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