20/40 top set

[Howard Treesong]

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yes

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I'm surprised that you think so: that seems to be a horrible Villain holding to justify a $3K call with 1700 in already. Accepting your premise that a flush draw is a material part of his range, then isn't a river check a better line? His busted draw can't call a chip; but it might consider a bluff. And it's not clear to me that you're giving away much EV to the rest of his range: the money is going in if he has a set; the only real question is his line if he's holding two pair. On that board, two pair looks strong; it might well bet.

IMHO, of course.