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#1
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
If there are 10,000,000 spins a day for 1 billion years, then we can expect 49 reds in a row once. Thus I think we can safely say that 60 reds in a row will never occur on this planet (on a fair wheel).
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#2
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Manageable risk
It's a manageable risk. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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#3
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
[ QUOTE ]
If there are 10,000,000 spins a day for 1 billion years, then we can expect 49 reds in a row once. Thus I think we can safely say that 60 reds in a row will never occur on this planet (on a fair wheel). [/ QUOTE ] anyone here seen one of those before? the look on gamblers betting black and losing all the way must be very amusing. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#4
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
[ QUOTE ]
Thus I think we can safely say that 60 reds in a row will never occur on this planet (on a fair wheel) [/ QUOTE ] umm! fooled by randomness! [see Nassim Nicholas Taleb] |
#5
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
[ QUOTE ]
umm! fooled by randomness! [see Nassim Nicholas Taleb] [/ QUOTE ] 60 reds in the row has the same probability as 60 red/black mixed in a row right? |
#6
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
[ QUOTE ]
The 47.3% dictates that 473 out of 1000 MUST be Red in the LONG RUN. [/ QUOTE ] No, just that it's extremely likely to work out this way. It is not absolute. [ QUOTE ] 60 reds in the row has the same probability as 60 red/black mixed in a row right? [/ QUOTE ] Any specific color pattern of red/black will have the same odds as another. |
#7
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
Probability tells you that 60 reds in a row is as likely as any other sequence you may posit.
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#8
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
[ QUOTE ]
Probability tells you that 60 reds in a row is as likely as any other sequence you may posit. [/ QUOTE ] I posit 60 greens in a row. |
#9
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Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
nh [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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