The longest draw - Page 2

DesertCat · #11 11-18-2005, 01:55 AM

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First, you did not "beat" the other "bad bead" story. The odds are the same in both cases. 989 to 1.
Second, that is (knowing the flop and the hole cards of two players) the longest odds you can get (needing to catch the only two cards you can).

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Damn you for being right.

BoxTree · #12 11-18-2005, 04:22 AM

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I don't see why it isn't 2 in 45 X 1 in 44, or 990 to 1. For running sf you must start with 2 known cards plus the board.

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Your math is right: 2/45 * 1/44 = 990.

1 in 990 is the same as 989:1.

If you're getting 4:1 to call, you need to win 1 in 5 times. Lose 4, Win 1 (4:1), break even.

psyduck · #13 11-18-2005, 07:18 AM

sorry dude, you misplayed grossly on the turn.

2+2 wannabe · #14 11-18-2005, 11:35 AM

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sorry dude, you misplayed grossly on the turn.

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[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

DesertCat · #15 11-18-2005, 02:29 PM

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sorry dude, you misplayed grossly on the turn.

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I'm sure it's obvious, but would you enlighten me as to your thought process on the turn?

#16 11-18-2005, 09:57 PM

The longest draws possible are runner runner straight flush or runner runner quads, both are 989-1