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#11
12-19-2005, 02:01 PM
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Results
I checked and he quickly checked behind with A7. This one was close but i think a bet would have been better against this type of opponent. He probably won't bluff with a flush draw if that's what he has and he's unlikely to raise me unless i'm beat (which means i can easily fold when he does)
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#12
12-19-2005, 02:04 PM
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Re: Results
[ QUOTE ]
I checked and he quickly checked behind with A7. This one was close but i think a bet would have been better against this type of opponent. He probably won't bluff with a flush draw if that's what he has and he's unlikely to raise me unless i'm beat (which means i can easily fold when he does) [/ QUOTE ] This logic isn't quite sound. There's no guarantee he would have called a bet on all streets with TPNK. If he folds everything you're beating on the end, there's no value in betting (other than metagame non-showing value).
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#13
12-19-2005, 02:20 PM
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Re: Results
[ QUOTE ]
If he folds everything you're beating on the end, [/ QUOTE ] That's a gigantic if and i believe it to be false. I'm pretty sure he would have called a 1/2 pot bet on the river (which is what i would have bet. [ QUOTE ] This logic isn't quite sound. [/ QUOTE ] i'm not convinced yet. Do you see the flaw in your logic? (hint: see above)
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#14
12-19-2005, 04:18 PM
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Re: Value bet this river?
Id bet 150. Either you check/call and lose to a hand that will bet 150, or bet 150 and called - sometimes you'll lose, sometimes you'll win. But it sure is better than calling 150 and always losing.
-SmileyEH
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