Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #31  
Old 12-12-2005, 03:30 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: statistical tests to show that online poker is not rigged

[ QUOTE ]


You're right. I've played hundreds of thousands of hands, and I've seen literally dozens of those "horrific" beats that you speak of, 989:1 (the worst beat possible in holdem) shots hitting. That should NEVER happen. What are the odds of a 989:1 shot hitting!?! It's like a billion to one!

[/ QUOTE ]

That is probaly one of the funniest replies if read in a long while
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 12-12-2005, 03:32 PM
Mempho Mempho is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Searching for my Luckbox
Posts: 227
Default Re: statistical tests to show that online poker is not rigged

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What are the odds of a 989:1 shot hitting!?! It's like a billion to one!

The odds are 989:1.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nice article...thanks for the link.

Lee Jones article

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 12-12-2005, 04:47 PM
benfranklin benfranklin is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 155
Default Re: Non random flops

[ QUOTE ]

On a side note, how often should you see Quads come up? I had quads 3 times one day, and saw a few others. I dont ever recall seeing that many while sitting down playing in a B&M or a home game. Just curious.

[/ QUOTE ]

The concept of seeing something X times in a day does not have significance. You can expect on average to see quads once every XXX hands. You see a lot more hands per hour online, so you can expect to see quads a lot more often online. In a B&M, you might see 30 hands per hour. If you are just playing 2 tables online, you might see 100 hands an hour. If you play for 6 hours, you see 180 hands live, 600 hands online. So you should see quads more than 3 times as often online. That goes up if you play more tables.

Also, you remember seeing quads 3 times in a day because it is so unusual. You don't remember all the days that you never saw quads. Without a database of significant size, reports of incidents like this mean nothing.
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 12-12-2005, 07:45 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Non random flops

Ever get the feeling you might be able to relate to Chris Columbus when he was trying to explain to a flatlander the error in his (flatlander) thinking?

[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 12-12-2005, 11:31 PM
AaronBrown AaronBrown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: New York
Posts: 505
Default Re: statistical tests to show that online poker is not rigged

Thanks for the kind words. I was slow to go to online poker. I don't like online casinos, and it took a little while to figure out the online poker sites were different. Then I was worried about the usual stuff: the site not returning my money, players colluding or hacking the system, software errors. If there had been on-line poker in the days when I played mostly for the money, I certainly would have jumped in; but these days I play for fun; and fun for me is a good high-stakes, in-person game.

I have played some on-line to see what it was like, but I don't think I'll ever get serious about it.
Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 12-13-2005, 12:51 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: statistical tests to show that online poker is not rigged

Thank you for the reply. I'd have guessed you were a B&M guy, but curiosity, and your post, caused me to wonder. again, thx
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:49 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.