11: how bad was this flop push?

[ravensfan]

Since you have position, i don't mind calling and checking the turn if an Ace or Q hits. How would everyone else play the turn if an A or Q hit?

Pushing isn't so bad, i figure you probably have to be a favorite, and it makes it easier when he bet out on AJ or who knows, K2diamonds, 89, KK, etc... On all of these you are the favorite (although on KK, you can have either 13 or 14 outs, which make you a reasonable favorite since it's based on 45 cards). Basically, you're pushing $1200 to win $3100, and you're probably about a 55% favorite. Assuming you're 55% favorite, your EV is 3100*.55 = 1705 or $500ish. If you're 50-50, your expected return is $1550, or $350 if he calls. Sometimes, he might fold, i know i've folded after being reraised.

Besides, don't you have a chance for a royal flush?!