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Re: $55: Standard small overpair, take 2
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Boy, that's an interesting line. Call the flop and fold to a turn bet. I assume you check behind if it's checked to you? Or bet and hope he's not trapping? You'd be getting such good pot odds on a turn bet, it would be hard to fold. It's hard for me to believe that you'd be behind so much of the time that folding would be correct. I can't see calling in the first place unless you were committed to going all the way with it. [/ QUOTE ] yeah, im not saying my line is the best line, i'm just kind of thinking out loud, (hopefully) for the benefit of those reading (and myself). if my hurriedly completed math is right, villian will have about 450 chips left on the turn, and the pot will be a little under 700. i think it's reasonable to think he doesn't push AK here more than 1/3 of the time. i would check through a blank turn and probably call a villian push on a blank river (read: a blank for me in this case is a nonace). the ever-present problem of SNGs is that you just dont have enough chips to really effectively put villian on a more narrow range of hands than just, any hand that raises preflop and CBs -- a pretty big range. which is why the answer, most of the time, is just to fold here. that being said, i certainly have not been convinced that calling < pushing, which i think is way too reckless. |
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