AA against LAG

[gaming_mouse]

[ QUOTE ]
id just call the turn and call river. i wouldnt put in a raise there but since you did i think you can fold to the 3 bet. btw i know who noner is etc.

[/ QUOTE ]

TS,

Don't you think that by the time he bet the turn, noner could have KK or AQ as well as QQ.

QQ - 3 combos
KK - 6 combos
AQ - 6 bomose

Rob is therefore a 4:1 favorite.
Raising the turn is essentially a win 1 extra vs lose 2 extra proposition, so doesn't he have odds to raise?

[Lmn55d]

that range is way too narrow. There's 88, 99, 44, KQs etc. Most LAGs would have no qualms calling 3.5 in a big pot with those hands

[gaming_mouse]

[ QUOTE ]
that range is way too narrow. There's 88, 99, 44, KQs etc. Most LAGs would have no qualms calling 3.5 in a big pot with those hands

[/ QUOTE ]

You think he could still have all those hands after the point where he bets the turn? I could see KQ and 99 at that point, and any other set hands. But you really think 88 and 99?

[TStoneMBD]

ive played with noner. after he calls 4 semicold and checkraises this flop i put him on AA, KK or QQ.

i doubt he calls 4 with AQ but its possible. i also think if he called 4 with a weaker pair then QQ and checkraises this flop that he should fold to the turn raise.

even if you assume that sometimes hell have AQ or JJ type of hands and calls down, you have to realize that by raising the turn you need to be ahead >66.6% of the time for raising to be correct if you arent folding to a 3bet.