fold the river?

[WDC]

I have no reads on the particulatr player but the table is typical; very passive and playing any two suited any pocket pair and broadway any two broadway for two bets.
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 folds, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP2 calls, Button calls.

Flop: (6.50 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 calls, Button calls.

Turn: (4.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 calls, Button calls.

River: (7.75 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="CC3333">Button raises</font>, Hero folds, MP2 folds.

Final Pot: 11.75 BB

[sfer]

That fold makes we want to cry.

*vomits*

[WDC]

it felt right at the time, but i kinda wept a little myself afterwords. I still think I was probably beat ( id say 85% sure) but that pot was too big

if you're 85% sure and you're getting almost 12:1 on your call: call

if you're 90% sure and you're getting almost 12:1 on your call: call

if you're 95% sure and you're getting almost 12:1 on your call: probably call still, just so people don't start taking shots at you.

[Keats13]

[ QUOTE ]
I still think I was probably beat ( id say 85% sure)

[/ QUOTE ]

0.15 * 11.75 - 0.85 * 1.00 = 1.76 - 0.85 = +0.91 BB

[MoreWineII]

I have no reads on the particulatr player but the table is typical; very passive and playing any two suited any pocket pair and broadway any two broadway for two bets.
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, A.
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 folds, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds, Hero raises, MP2 calls, Button calls.

Flop: (6.50 SB) K, 3, J (3 players)
Hero bets, MP2 calls, Button calls.

Turn: (4.75 BB) Q (3 players)
Hero bets, MP2 calls, Button calls.

River: (7.75 BB) 2 (3 players)
Hero bets, MP2 calls, Button raises, Hero calls, MP2 folds.

Final Pot: 11.75 BB

Results in white below:

<font color="white"> Button shows AdKc
Hero shows AcAs

Hero wins 11.75 BB </font>



[img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]