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#1
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
Hand 1:
You really should have chceked in position here, hoping to pick up a better draw (turning that draw into an open ender, or add a flush). I really don't like c-betting with nothing against smaller stacks like Villain in this hand, because they seem to check-raise me very often and I feel trapped into calling aside from odds. Given how youplayed this hand, i'd fold since i'm getting improper odds and he only has 9k behind. Although, if I was actually put int he situation, I might just reraise all in if I felt my cards were good for 6 outs. Hard to say when you're reading the action on a website. Hand 2: If my calculations are correct, you're the favorite to win this hand even against a set of aces and the nut straight. But you're only 38%, and you'd have to put in more than 50% of the money. At least, I think that's right. I would probably gamble because i'd still have a nice stack to play with for the level. |
#2
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
Hand 1: Pretty easy fold, very good chance that your gutshots and BDFD are your only outs
Hand 2: I'm tempted to gamble it up here. You're only in real trouble if MP1 has suited A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] |
#3
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
Any of you guys that posted about the final decision on hand 1 feel inclined to post the ranges you used in pokerstove?
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#4
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
Am I the only person here who can't click call fast enough on hand #2? That's not a fold. I can't believe it's even close.
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#5
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
[ QUOTE ]
Am I the only person here who can't click call fast enough on hand #2? That's not a fold. I can't believe it's even close. [/ QUOTE ] I didn't quite say it that matter-of-factly, but yeah, that is what I was getting at. |
#6
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
ZBTHorton,
Three way action is pretty sexy. I think even with possible higher flush draws and redraws you've got great equity. Aaron |
#7
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
If my numbers are right, you have to call 50k in hand 2 into a pot of 98,6k.
I think it's marginally a gamble you should take. Ran some number through pokerstove with a variety of ranges because it's hard to nail down the villains holdings here. But the button has a pretty wide range I think, MP1 probably has a set or a straight. I'd be interested to see the results. Interesting hand in any case. |
#8
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
[ QUOTE ]
MP1 probably has a set or a straight. [/ QUOTE ] You think he was second into the pot preflop with 5 2? A set maybe, but almost assuredly not a straight. I think your range for him is way too narrow. |
#9
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
hand 1:
i'm getting 2.5:1 so i need like 7 outs to break even. gutshot - 4 outs backdoor flush - 1.5 outs 7's and 8's - i think they're good 50% or more. so 3 outs. 8.5 outs might be stretching, but i think it looks ok. |
#10
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Re: Two hands (Stars 45k)
[ QUOTE ]
hand 1: i'm getting 2.5:1 so i need like 7 outs to break even. gutshot - 4 outs backdoor flush - 1.5 outs 7's and 8's - i think they're good 50% or more. so 3 outs. 8.5 outs might be stretching, but i think it looks ok. [/ QUOTE ] Not if you hit a 7 or 8 and he actually has top pair. You will loose even more money. |
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