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  #1  
Old 08-29-2005, 08:44 PM
timex timex is offline
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Default Re: An Update.

I think its very similar, if you have a board showing a pair and only 1 player playing, they will have quads about 1/1100 times. If they play ten hands, on this board, they will hit quads about ~1/110 times. If there are 10 players at the table, they will each have quads about 1/1100 times 1*10/1100 = 1/110. For every case the same thing can be done whether there are 3 of a kind on the board one pair or 2 pair.
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  #2  
Old 08-30-2005, 02:16 AM
RocketManJames RocketManJames is offline
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Default Re: An Update.

[ QUOTE ]
I think its very similar, if you have a board showing a pair and only 1 player playing, they will have quads about 1/1100 times. If they play ten hands, on this board, they will hit quads about ~1/110 times. If there are 10 players at the table, they will each have quads about 1/1100 times 1*10/1100 = 1/110. For every case the same thing can be done whether there are 3 of a kind on the board one pair or 2 pair.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think this reasoning is flawed due to independence issues. Can someone else chime in?

-RMJ
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  #3  
Old 08-30-2005, 08:49 AM
LetYouDown LetYouDown is offline
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Default Re: An Update.

You definitely need to apply the inclusion/exclusion (or similar) principle here to get an exact answer. I was just reaching for a ballpark estimate that might be within the first standard deviation when propogated over a few thousand hands.
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